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Return of the techies: The changing equations

A few years ago a job in India was considered to be a prelude to a lucrative job in the US. However, as NRIs and other foreign nationals flock to the country to be a part of the IT industry here, India is now being fast considered the land of opportunities, says Prashant Govil

The last two years have been truly amazing in terms of demonstrating what India can expect in coming years. There is a growing global realisation that the Indian software industry has reached its final leg of development—and that it is poised to emerge as a major high-tech hub. As per recent Nasscom figures, over 35,000 Indian IT workers returned to their native soil since 9/11—almost 10 percent of the current Indian IT workforce in the US!

Why is everyone flocking back?

With the anti-outsourcing winds in the US it should actually have been the opposite! A more closer examination of the facts reveals the reasons for this seeming “anomaly.”

First and foremost is of course the job market in Western markets. Ever since the downturn in the US economy, H1-B visa holders (and even green card holders) have become an endangered species. The bursting of the dotcom bubble was quickly followed by a seemingly never-ending series of accounting scandals and 9/11, a situation which ensures that cost-cutting, realistic salary levels, heightened security concerns will be call of the day for many years to come for the entire US industry (and in a way the entire civilised Western world). What this actually translates into is more jobs for “Indians in India” i.e. Indians working for US-based MNCs but providing their services from cheaper Indian shores.

To also quote a colleague who recently came back to India to work for Tata Consultancy Services after completing his management studies in Australia, “My professors in business school literally said anyone who even thinks about quitting a software job in India and going to the US/Europe can only be considered a fool. My professors/colleagues were fully convinced that India was the place to be if you wanted to make a career in information technology.”

Standard of living

The second reason for this “reverse” brain drain is a mix of factors—the current standard of living in the country now, the inflation rate and the growing strength of the Indian rupee.

I have never imagined in my wildest dreams a situation would come wherein a person would opt to move to India because he could have a better standard of living. In PPP-weighted terms, it is now definitely realistic to expect an Indian salary that is comparable if not superior to the US salary. PPP is Purchasing Power Parity, an indicator of the real conversion factor you should use when comparing dollar salaries and rupee salaries. Currently the PPP is around six, that is, a salary of Rs 6 lakh in India is equivalent to a salary of one lakh dollars in the US. Fresh graduates in the US can hope to get not more then $40,000 as a starting salary wherein the corresponding figure in India i.e. Rs 2.4 lakh is no problem whatsoever.

Moreover, there is also the inflation rate and growing strength of the rupee to consider as well. After depreciating steadily against the US dollar (from Rs 31.37 in 1991 to Rs 49.07 to the dollar in 2001), the rupee has now been steadily appreciating against the dollar, and is now at almost Rs 47 to the dollar.

Also, the inflation rate in India has been hovering at between 2 percent and 4 percent per year for the past several years. With salaries increasing at a much faster rate (especially in the software sector), the real incomes have thus been increasing at a very healthy rate for the past few years.

How does it help the country?

This return of the “prodigal” sons and daughters only augers well for the country. As they return they are bring back huge volumes of business with them. Some of these NRIs having worked and studied in the US for 10 plus years are highly skilled in niche and cutting-edge products and technologies.

The MNCs they were working for are more then happy to shift some of the high-technology work to low-cost development centres in India. IBM, SUN, Microsoft, Intel, Oracle, HP, CISCO and Dell are a few examples of large corporations ramping up their India development centres with the help of these returnees.

Other then this, those returning also bring with them admirable “lists of contacts” .As these NRIs go to work for companies like TCS, Wipro, Infosys or start their own firms they are able to admirably leverage these contacts and their understanding of Western business to push work to Indian companies.

The only thorn in this otherwise rosy scene is none other then our famous (infamous?) government itself.

Recently the finance minister announced a new taxation rule which basically states that for NRIs returning to India any income they accrue abroad (including even Retire-ment/Pension Account income) will now be fully liable to Indian taxation from the year of their return. From now on, software professionals returning from the US to India will have to think twice: they would be liable for tax of approximately 33 percent on any savings they have there!

Not only are the “sons of the soil” returning, there is also a growing realisation among foreign nationals that as far as the information technology sector is concerned India is “the place” to be. Companies like TCS, Infosys, Wipro are increasingly receiving resumes from foreign university graduates for jobs and internships. In TCS itself I have interacted with company employees from Sweden, Finland, Hungary, USA, UK, Japan, China, Korea and other countries who proudly call themselves “Tata” employees!

This is a win-win situation for all and with the government, NRIs and industry working together, we Indians have delivered the world’s second fastest growing economy for the past couple of years. The future can only be better, not worse.

(Prashant Govil is a Business Analyst with TCS. The views expressed are personal.)

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